Organic food (Dec 15)

A difficult math:

1 dozen of organic eggs is $5.5 in Ranch 99, while the non-organic one is $1.5. We, a five-person-family, consume 2 dozens every week. If switch to organic, we have to pay an extra of $400 a year. Assume there are 1 billion family in the world. If every family switches to organic, world GDP will increase by $400 billion US. The semiconductor industry has an annual revenue of $300 billion US. So just the organic egg alone will require us to increase the productivity such that we can produce an extra of what a whole semiconductor industry can produce!

Now, how about organic fish, meat, corns, rice etc. How are we able to increase the productivity in this scale? I think it is in the trillions. As a reference, US GDP is just in the range of 15 trillions.

This is a difficult math because there are lots of assumption.

But is organic sustainable?

OK, now another question, assume we are not able to produce organic food in the scale as large as the non-organic one. So, only selected people can afford the price of organic food because the price will not go down much as supply can't meat demand. This is true that not all people can afford. If one has minimum wage and works for 20 days, the eggs alone is 1/3 of the monthly income, and needless to say it will be much more in terms of percentage of the dispensable income, which is the key. Should we ban students bringing organic foods to school to avoid discrimination? In HK, in the old time, we were not allow to wear expensive spot shoes, which I guess was to avoid discriminating the poors.

So, organic is not just unsustainable but maybe discriminating.

In reality the price will come down eventually. How? I see different organic eggs have different prices. How can one be cheaper than another one? Maybe just be less organic to save cost? Eventually there will be degenerated organic food, I guess 

Thanks for reading, just nonsense.